Intro by Sam
Happy Halloween! The last couple of weeks Yank and I have found a few winners along the way. Did we dress up as decent bettors? Find out this week as we sort through the candy haul the NFL left us this weekend.
Week 9 Picks
The Collaboration
The Jacksonville Jaguars-2.5 @ the Las Vegas Raiders
The Seattle Seahawks-2.5 @ the Washington Commanders
Yank: Some of the matchups this Halloween weekend can be frightening in terms of trying to figure out who to pick. Come with us, and never fear, for we have more teams who are favored on the road coming off their bye. Just like the Bills last week both the Jags and Seahawks this week fall into this group, which historically covers the spread at a 60+% clip. Stay away from the haunted house matchups and bob for apples with us, and hopefully come up with two more winners.
Sam: When going through the pillow sack of NFL candy, the Jags matchup looked like one of those homemade Halloween treats your parents make you throw away. But after further evaluation of the bye week schedule, the candy was safe enough to eat. Meanwhile, the Seahawks looked like a mini Kit-Kat, but when I pulled it out to look at it further, it turned out to be a full size – what a score!
Yank’s Pick: $11.00 each on the Seahawks-3 (-110) and Jaguars-2.5 (-115)
Sam’s Pick: $10.00 on the Jaguars-3 (EVEN) and $10.50 on the Seahawks-3 (-105)
The Confrontation
The Kansas City Chiefs-2 @ the Buffalo Bills
Sam: This game is the part of Halloween where you finally get to pour all of your candy out on the floor and sort through your haul. It’s simply the best. We’ve got two of the best teams squaring off in an awesome environment. Could you ask for more candy than that? Well, in my case, yes. I’d like the Chiefs to win by 2.
Yank: Honestly, I don’t like this pick very much. The Chiefs have been hot, and Mahomes has been playing like he was possessed by the demon guy from the relentless trailers for The Black Phone 2 (no, I have not, and will not see any of those movies, ever). That said, I am dumb and bad at picking. This should be a great game, and Buffalo is at home. Give me the Bills.
Yank’s Pick: $5.00 on the Bills+2 (EVEN)
Sam’s Pick: $5.00 on the Chiefs-2 (EVEN)
The Money Line Parlay of the Week
The Indianapolis Colts-3.5 @ the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Denver Broncos @ the Houston Texans-2.5
Yank: The Colts have finally done it; they have converted me. I think they are one of the best teams in the league and should not just win outright but cover the spread against a Pittsburgh team that has looked hapless defensively. Meanwhile, I think the pendulum has swung a little too far in favor of Houston after their first good performance of the season last week. Denver has proven to be tough to kill, and I like their chances to pull out the W. As my son likes to say, “neigh, neigh” for the two-horse teams.
Sam: I liken the Colts to a Snickers bar, but not any old Snickers, the kind with the almonds. It’s a storied franchise that faded for a while, but they are back and delicious with a new twist. Meanwhile, the Broncos are an Almond Joy. I didn’t enjoy them as a kid, but as I’ve gotten older, I’ve come to appreciate them.
Yank’s Pick: $10.00 on a Colts/Broncos Money Line parlay (+283)
Sam’s Pick: $10.00 on a Colts/Broncos Money Line parlay (+239)
Rapid-Fire Isolation Picks
Yank’s Pick:
$11.00 on the Chargers-9.5 (-115) at the Tennessee Titans
$11.00 on the Rams-14 (-110) vs the New Orleans Saints
Yank: Betting against the Titans and Saints every week, no matter what, feels like good business.
Sam’s Pick:
$11.20 on the Los Angeles Chargers-10 (-112) @ the Tennessee Titans
$11.50 on the Los Angeles Rams-14 (-115) VS the New Orleans Saints
$6.00 on the New England Patriots-4.5 (-118) VS the Atlanta Falcons
$4.50 on the Detroit Lions-8.5 (-120) VS the Minnesota Vikings
Sam: We’ll call the Chargers and Rams picks the Milkduds. Mostly because the teams they are playing are DUDS. The Patriots are a Milky Way bar, their star is rising, and they’re hosting the Falcons, who can’t play on the road. Lastly, the Lions pick is the spare bag of candy in the closet in case I run out. It’s an emotional hedge.
Authors: Sam Mattson and Michael Yanckello
One Last Line 